NSW Arbovirus Surveillance and Mosquito Monitoring 2023-2024 - Week ending 11 November 2023

​​​Weekly reports are available at ​www.health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/mosquito-borne/Pages/surveillance.aspx

Please send questions or comments about this report to:

Surveillance and Risk Unit, Environmental Health Branch, Health Protection NSW: hssg-ehbsurveillance@health.nsw.gov.au

Testing and scientific services are provided by the Department of Medical Entomology, NSW Health Pathology, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research (ICPMR) for mosquito surveillance,​​ and the Arbovirus Emerging Diseases Unit, NSW Health Pathology (ICPMR) for sentinel chicken surveillance.

The arbovirus surveillance and mosquito monitoring results in this report remain the property of the NSW Ministry of Health and may not be used or disseminated to unauthorised persons or organisations without permission.

On this p​age

Summary​

Arbovi​rus Detections

  • Sentinel Chickens: There were no arbovirus detections in sentinel chickens.
  • Mosquito Isolates: There were no arbovirus detections in mosquitoes.

Mosquito Abundance

  • Inland: LOW at Balranald, Forbes, Grong Grong, Leeton and Menindee. MEDIUM at Macquarie Marshes.
  • Coastal: Data are not yet available. Mosquito trapping at coastal sites will begin the first week of December 2023.
  • Sydney: Data are not yet available. Mosquito trapping at Sydney sites will begin the first week of December 2023.

Environmental Conditions

  • Climate: In the week ending 11 November 2023, there was moderate rainfall along the coast and low rainfall elsewhere. In October, there was above average rainfall inland along the border of Victoria and in some areas along the north coast. Rainfall was low to average elsewhere. In November, minimum temperatures and maximum temperatures are likely to be above average and rainfall is expected to be about average across the state.
  • Tides: High tides over 1.8 metres are predicted for 14-17 November, 26-30 November, 12-17 December and 25-29 December which could trigger hatching of Aedes vigilax.

Human Arboviral​​ Disease Notifications

  • Ross River Virus: 8 probable cases were notified in the week ending 11 November 2023.
  • Barmah Forest Virus: 3 probable cases were notified in the week ending 11 November 2023.

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Arbovirus Dete​​ctions

This section details detections of Murray Valley encephalitis virus, Japanese encephalitis virus, Kunjin virus, Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus in the NSW Arbovirus Surveillance and Mosquito Monitoring Program.

Sentinel chi​cken

Chickens are bled for detection of antibodies directed against Murray Valley encephalitis virus, Japanese encephalitis virus, Kunjin virus, Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus, indicating exposure to these viruses. Test results for the past week are shown in the map below and all positive test results for the season are detailed in the table. A positive test result indicates one or more chickens in a flock tested positive for the first time to antibodies directed against a particular virus, indicating newly acquired infection.

Sentinel chicken antibody test results for samples collected in the weeks ending 11 November 2023


There have been no detections in sentinel chickens in the 2023-2024 surveillance season.

Mosquito iso​lates

Whole grinds of collected mosquitoes are tested for arbovirus nucleic acids to determine the presence of arboviruses in mosquitoes. Test results for detections of Murray Valley encephalitis virus, Japanese encephalitis virus, Kunjin virus, Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus for the past week are shown in the maps below.

Test results for mosquito trapping sites reported in the week ending 11 November 2023

There were no arbovirus detections at inland sites in the week ending 11 November 2023. Mosquito trapping at coastal and Sydney sites will begin the first week of December 2023.

Inland


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Mosquito Abundance​​

This section details counts of mosquitoes in the NSW Arbovirus Surveillance and Mosquito Monitoring Program. Each location represents the count average for all trapping sites at that location for the most recent week that collections were provided prior to preparation of this report. 

Culex annulirostris and Aedes vigilax are vectors of interest for Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus, Culex annulirostris is also a vector for Japanese encephalitis virus.

Mosquito counts​​

Mosquito counts (average per trap per location) for mosquito trapping sites reported in the week ending 11 November 2023 

Inland sites


​Mosquito abundance results for the entire 2023-2024 season​​

This section shows all mosquito trapping results by location and species type to date for the current arbovirus season. 

Cumulative mosquito abundance tables


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Environmental Conditions​​​

​Mosquitoes require water to breed. Rainfall and tides (for the salt marsh mosquito, Aedes vigilax) are important contributing factors for proliferation of mosquito numbers. Unseasonably warm weather can also contribute to higher mosquito numbers. 

Rainfall 

In the week ending 11 November 2023, there was moderate rainfall along the coast and low rainfall elsewhere. In October, there was above average rainfall inland along the border of Victoria and in some areas along the​ north coast. Rainfall was low to average elsewhere. 

Upcoming week’s rainfall and temperature outlook 

The Bureau of Meteorology’s rainfall outlook indicates that the upcoming week is anticipated to experience average rainfall in coastal areas, while above-average levels are expected throughout the rest of NSW. 

Rainfall 18 Nov to 24 Nov, 2023


The Bureau of Meteorology’s temperature outlook predicts that minimum and maximum temperatures are likely to be above average in November. 

Minimum temperature 18 Nov to 24 Nov, 2023 

In the upcoming week, minimum temperature levels across NSW are predicted to be above average, except for the eastern-northern quadrant of NSW where temperatures are expected to be average. Image for Report


Maximum temperature 18 Nov to 24 Nov, 2023 

Next week, the maximum temperature levels are forecasted to be below average across NSW, with the exception of areas along the Victoria border where higher-than-average temperatures are expected. Image for Report


Tides

Tidal information is relevant for the prediction of the activity of the salt marsh mosquito, Aedes vigilax. Typically for NSW, high tides of over 1.8 m, as measured at Sydney, can induce hatching of Aedes vigilax larvae. Predicted tide heights can provide some indication of when this is likely to occur. 

Dates of predicted high tides of over 1.8 m at Sydney (Fort Denison) 

  • 14-17 November
  • 26-30 November
  • 12-17 December
  • 25-29 December

Source: Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology

Note: Measured tides at Sydney Port Jackson for the current week are available from the NSW Government, Manly Hydraulics Laboratory.

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Human Arboviral Disease Notifications

Under the NSW Public Health Act 2010, human arboviral infections are notifiable in NSW.

https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/infectious/pages/data.aspx

Recent notifications of Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus infections in humans (by date of case report received)

Notifications of Ross River virus and Barmah Forest virus infections, by month of disease onset (the earlier of patient-reported onset or specimen collection date), are available online.

The following figures show of the current NSW Arbovirus Surveillance and Mosquito Monitoring season (2023-2024), and the same period in the previous four years.

Ross River virus​​​

Note: Presented human cases include both confirmed and probable cases.

Barmah Forest virus

 

 

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Current as at: Friday 1 December 2023
Contact page owner: Environmental Health